Harris County Flood Control District and Meteorologists Jeff Lindner and Lance Wood, issued its Weekly Weather Hazards Outlook from Mon, July 14th to Sun, July 21st, citing a tropical disturbance in the Atlantic that could bring impacts to the Gulf Coast later this week. The system, currently located east of Florida, is expected to move west across the state and enter the northeast Gulf of Mexico by late Tuesday. Once over the warm Gulf waters, the disturbance may find favorable conditions for tropical development, with the potential to strengthen into a tropical depression or tropical storm between Wednesday and Saturday.

While it’s too early to determine the exact path and strength of the system, forecasters say the most likely scenario is a northwest-moving storm aiming for the Mississippi or Louisiana coastlines by Thursday or Friday. However, due to the current lack of strong organization, the forecast remains uncertain and could shift in the coming days. The Harris County Flood Control District plans to issue an update as the system evolves.

Regardless of whether this disturbance develops into a named storm, Southeast Texas is likely to feel some indirect effects. Moisture levels are expected to rise locally by the weekend, bringing a better chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms, particularly from Friday through Sunday. 

Temperatures will remain hot throughout the week. Highs will hover in the lower to mid-90s, with the warmest days expected Tuesday through Thursday. Heat indices may reach 102–105 degrees during this stretch, while slightly lower readings near 100 are likely today and again over the weekend. Residents should stay hydrated and take precautions during peak afternoon heat.

While the Gulf system’s future remains uncertain, this week’s weather outlook includes both the risk of tropical development and typical midsummer heat. 

Sign up for more information about flood control in the Harris County area, and don’t forget to visit the Harris County Flood Control District website for additional resources such as the Harris County Flood Warning System.